Jay Cost and Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics posted the first installment of their 2008 election analysis today. You can find it here and it's pretty accurate in its interpretation. Their manipulation of the data cuts through most of the nonsense promoted by the media.
In short, there is still a significant urban-rural red-blue divide and Obama benefited mostly from the racial vote, both black and white. Thus, there is probably no real ideological shift within the electorate and Obama's fate will probably rest on the economy and any national security surprises. This is consistent with my own findings.
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